BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Tarleton St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 3 Overall: (12-1) Overall Strength = 156.47
Conference: United Athletic Conference Record: (7-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (11-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/23/2025 Away W * 160.52 42 0 1B 89 ( 1-11) Portland St 4.07 * 3.20 37.93
2 08/29/2025 Away W 158.24 30 27 1A 77 ( 6- 5) Army 1.79 1.20 1.21
3 09/06/2025 Home W * 148.77 59 3 1B 128 ( 2-10) Mississippi Valley S -7.69 * 44.78 63.69
4 09/13/2025 Away W * * 173.43 56 10 1B 52 ( 3- 9) Central Arkansas 16.98 28.82 29.02
5 09/20/2025 Home W * 149.12 52 24 1B 85 ( 5- 7) Chattanooga -7.33 * 21.89 35.33
6 10/04/2025 Home W * * 147.19 52 42 1B 20 ( 7- 5) Southern Utah -9.27 27.70 19.27
7 10/11/2025 Away W * * 142.77 41 23 1B 77 ( 2-10) Utah Tech -13.68 * 25.55 31.68
8 10/18/2025 Home W * * 168.99 45 10 1B 27 ( 8- 3) West Georgia 12.54 13.25 22.46
9 10/25/2025 Away W * * 156.73 31 7 1B 36 ( 5- 7) Eastern Kentucky 0.28 27.57 23.72
10 11/01/2025 Away L * * 140.05 28 31 1B 11 ( 9- 5) Abilene Christian -16.41 19.64 13.41
11 11/15/2025 Home W * * 180.91 61 0 1B 65 ( 2-10) North Alabama 24.46 * 34.96 36.54
12 11/22/2025 Home W * * 140.07 45 44 1B 16 ( 7- 5) Austin Peay -16.38 23.21 17.38
13 12/06/2025 Home W * 167.09 31 13 1B 4 ( 8- 6) North Dakota 10.64 2.47 7.36
Averages 156.45 44.1 18.0
Best game: 180.91 = 61 point win over North Alabama
Worst game: 140.05 = 3 point loss to Abilene Christian
Team stdev: 13.23