BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Tarleton St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 3 Overall: (12-2) Overall Strength =  152.01
Conference: United Athletic Conference Record: (7-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (11-2)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/23/2025 Away    W   * 159.43  42   0   1B  90 ( 1-11) Portland St             5.47 *    3.20   36.53                      
 2 08/29/2025 Away    W     159.44  30  27   1A  74 ( 7- 6) Army                    5.48      1.20   -2.48                      
 3 09/06/2025 Home    W   * 147.72  59   3   1B 129 ( 2-10) Mississippi Valley S   -6.24 *   44.78   62.24                      
 4 09/13/2025 Away    W * * 172.18  56  10   1B  56 ( 3- 9) Central Arkansas       18.22     28.82   27.78                      
 5 09/20/2025 Home    W   * 148.15  52  24   1B  85 ( 5- 7) Chattanooga            -5.81 *   21.89   33.81                      
 6 10/04/2025 Home    W * * 145.93  52  42   1B  20 ( 7- 5) Southern Utah          -8.03     27.70   18.03                      
 7 10/11/2025 Away    W * * 141.58  41  23   1B  75 ( 2-10) Utah Tech             -12.38     25.54   30.38                      
 8 10/18/2025 Home    W * * 167.82  45  10   1B  28 ( 8- 3) West Georgia           13.86     13.27   21.14                      
 9 10/25/2025 Away    W * * 155.68  31   7   1B  38 ( 5- 7) Eastern Kentucky        1.72     27.57   22.28                      
10 11/01/2025 Away    L * * 139.04  28  31   1B  13 ( 9- 5) Abilene Christian     -14.92     19.62   11.92                      
11 11/15/2025 Home    W * * 180.05  61   0   1B  65 ( 2-10) North Alabama          26.09 *   34.98   34.91                      
12 11/22/2025 Home    W * * 138.87  45  44   1B  17 ( 7- 5) Austin Peay           -15.09     21.39   16.09                      
13 12/06/2025 Home    W   * 166.34  31  13   1B   4 ( 8- 6) North Dakota           12.38      2.49    5.62                      
14 12/13/2025 Home    L   * 133.23  21  26   1B  11 (12- 3) Villanova             -20.73     17.40   15.73                      
      Averages             153.96  42.4 18.6

Best game:  180.05 = 61 point win over North Alabama
Worst game: 133.23 = 5 point loss to Villanova
Team stdev:  14.12