BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Tarleton St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 2 Overall: (10-1) Overall Strength = 156.16
Conference: United Athletic Conference Record: (6-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (9-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/23/2025 Away W * 159.54 42 0 1B 90 ( 1-10) Portland St 3.34 * 3.20 38.66
2 08/29/2025 Away W 157.49 30 27 1A 78 ( 5- 4) Army 1.29 1.20 1.71
3 09/06/2025 Home W * 149.20 59 3 1B 127 ( 1- 9) Mississippi Valley S -7.00 * 44.78 63.00
4 09/13/2025 Away W * * 173.07 56 10 1B 55 ( 3- 8) Central Arkansas 16.87 28.82 29.13
5 09/20/2025 Home W * 151.25 52 24 1B 78 ( 5- 6) Chattanooga -4.95 * 21.89 32.95
6 10/04/2025 Home W * * 147.03 52 42 1B 15 ( 6- 5) Southern Utah -9.17 27.70 19.17
7 10/11/2025 Away W * * 143.24 41 23 1B 75 ( 2- 9) Utah Tech -12.96 * 25.55 30.96
8 10/18/2025 Home W * * 167.62 45 10 1B 30 ( 8- 3) West Georgia 11.43 13.28 23.57
9 10/25/2025 Away W * * 154.03 31 7 1B 45 ( 4- 7) Eastern Kentucky -2.17 27.53 26.17
10 11/01/2025 Away L * * 137.71 28 31 1B 17 ( 7- 4) Abilene Christian -18.49 19.62 15.49
11 11/15/2025 Home W * * 178.00 61 0 1B 80 ( 2- 9) North Alabama 21.80 * 34.98 39.20
12 11/22/2025 Home * * 1B 28 ( 7- 4) Austin Peay 23.28
Averages 156.20 45.2 16.1
Best game: 178.00 = 61 point win over North Alabama
Worst game: 137.71 = 3 point loss to Abilene Christian
Team stdev: 12.55